2025, Czekała, Wojciech, Frankowski, Jakub, Sieracka, Dominika, Pochwatka, Patrycja, Kowalczyk-Juśko, Alina, Witaszek, Kamil, Dudnyk, Alla, Zielińska, Aleksandra, Wisła-Świder, Anna, Dach, Jacek

2026, Witaszek, Kamil, Shvorov, Sergey, Opryshko, Aleksey, Dudnyk, Alla, Zhuk, Denys, Łukomska, Aleksandra, Dach, Jacek

Biogas production plays a key role in the development of renewable energy systems; however, forecasting biomethane yield remains challenging due to the nonlinear nature of anaerobic digestion. The objective of this study was to develop a predictive model based on Radial Basis Function Neural Networks (RBF-NN) to approximate biomethane production using operational data from the Przybroda biogas plant in Poland. Two separate models were constructed: (1) the relationship between process temperature and daily methane production, and (2) the relationship between methane fraction and total biogas flow. Both models were trained using Gaussian activation functions, individually adjusted neuron parameters, and a zero-level correction algorithm. The developed RBF-NN models demonstrated high approximation accuracy. For the temperature-based model, root mean square error (RMSE) decreased from 531 m3 CH4·day−1 to 52 m3 CH4·day−1, while for the methane-fraction model, RMSE decreased from 244 m3 CH4·day−1 to 27 m3 CH4·day−1. The determination coefficients reached R2 = 0.99 for both models. These results confirm that RBF-NN provides an effective and flexible tool for modeling complex nonlinear dependencies in anaerobic digestion, even when only limited datasets are available, and can support real-time monitoring and optimization in biogas plant operations.