Water Level Rise and Bank Erosion in the Case of Large Reservoirs

The article presents an analysis of the complex mechanism of abrasion of shorelines built of non-lithified sediments as a result of rising water levels in the reservoir, along with its quantitative assessment. It allows forecasting the actual risks of coastal areas intendent for urbanization with similar morphology and geological structure. The task of the article is also to point out that for proper assessment of abrasion it is necessary to take into account the greater complexity of the mechanism in which abrasion is the result of co-occurring processes of erosion and landslides. During the analysis, the classic Kachugin method of abrasion assessment was combined with an analysis of the stability of the abraded slope, taking into account the circular slip surface (Bishop and Morgenster–Price methods) and the breaking slip surface (Sarma method). This approach required the assessment of the geotechnical properties of the soil using, among other things, advanced in situ methods such as static sounding. The results indicate that the cliff edge is in limit equilibrium or even in danger of immediate landslide. At the same time, it was possible to determine the horizontal extent of a single landslide at 1.2 to 5.8 m. In the specific cases of reservoir filling, the consideration of the simultaneous action of both failure mechanisms definitely worsens the prediction of shoreline sustainability and indicates the need to restrict construction development in the coastal zone.