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  4. Economic costs of 11 years of African swine fever in Polan
 
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Economic costs of 11 years of African swine fever in Polan

Type
Journal article
Language
English
Date issued
2025
Author
Pepliński, Benedykt 
Wojtczak, Janusz 
Pejsak, Zygmunt
Woźniakowski, Grzegorz
Faculty
Wydział Ekonomiczny
PBN discipline
economics and finance
Journal
Medycyna Weterynaryjna
ISSN
0025-8628
DOI
10.21521/mw.7042
Web address
http://www.medycynawet.edu.pl/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=7042&catid=987
Volume
81
Number
8
Pages from-to
413-419
Abstract (EN)
African swine fever (ASF) has been present in Poland in wild boar and pig populations for more than 11 years. The main cause of the long-distance spread of ASF is human error, especially the lack of biosecurity awareness in noncommercial farms. The potential risk of ASF endemicity in Poland and the Baltic states remains a serious concern. The enormous impact of ASF can be seen in the domestic production of pigs during the successive years of the epizootic. Due to ineffective biosecurity measures implemented in backyard, family or noncommercial farms, this sector of pig production remains the most susceptible to the ASF virus (ASFV). Also, commercial producers are affected by spontaneous ASFV outbreaks, which are usually difficult to explain during epizootic investigations. The data presented show the current knowledge on the economic impact of ASF in Poland since its introduction. The aim of this study was to estimate the costs to the farming sector and the national budget during the 11 years of ASF presence in Poland. This study used both statistical and dynamic methods of data analysis. The analysis included eight direct and indirect costs generating losses in agriculture. Profits lost by the meat industry and expenses from the state budget were also estimated. The analysis shows that over those 11 years, pig producers lost PLN 10.0-11.3 billion ($ 2.5-2.8 bn), of which the state compensated in various forms less than PLN 2.0 billion ($ 0.5 bn). Each disease outbreak accounted for PLN 0.53-0.63 million ($ 0.13-0.16 mln) of direct costs to farmers. The state budget spent at least PLN 9.4 billion ($ 2.3 bn) on the fight against ASF, as well as on subsidies for farmers and interest on additional public debt, while the meat industry lost PLN 300 million ($ 75 mln). The geographic expansion of ASF makes the costs of ASF increase every year. The loss of export markets is another cost to the Polish economy, with $ 5.5 bn of pork exports not realized.
Keywords (EN)
  • economic impact

  • direct and indirect costs

  • loss in pig production

  • ‘red zone’

License
cc-by-sacc-by-sa CC-BY-SA - Attribution-ShareAlike
Open access date
May 21, 2025
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