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Potential Changes in Land Use and Plant Production in Poland in the Context of Implementing the European Green Deal

cris.virtual.author-orcid0000-0002-7592-7412
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cris.virtual.author-orcid0000-0002-8236-1007
cris.virtualsource.author-orcid9de31cda-5821-478d-a331-37495893573e
cris.virtualsource.author-orcid#PLACEHOLDER_PARENT_METADATA_VALUE#
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cris.virtualsource.author-orcidc1cd59ae-7c44-45ed-872c-9e41f16d31a3
dc.abstract.enThe purpose of this paper is to identify the potential changes in agricultural land use in Poland as a consequence of implementing the European Green Deal, including its potential economic effects. The study covered crops of key importance to Polish agriculture, cultivated in a total area of 8.2 million ha, which accounts for more than 60% of land in good agricultural condition. The analyses were based on average values for 2016–2020 and used three scenarios for EGD implementation by 2030 (no EGD; partial implementation of the EGD; full implementation of the EGD). Each analysis took account of changes in the area of land under conventional, organic and precision farming systems. The study found that EGD requirements can be met by implementing the precision farming system, especially for intensive farming schemes like rape and sugar beet. Organic farming should be used either for extensively farmed cereals like oat or for fruits which are sold at higher prices when farmed organically. Another finding is that the full implementation of the EGD could decrease the production volume of key Polish crops by 13%, which can have important social impacts, such as increased prices of food products or a deterioration of food security.
dc.affiliationWydział Ekonomiczny
dc.affiliation.instituteKatedra Ekonomii i Polityki Gospodarczej w Agrobiznesie
dc.contributor.authorPoczta, Walenty
dc.contributor.authorGradziuk, Piotr
dc.contributor.authorMatyka, Mariusz
dc.contributor.authorSadowski, Arkadiusz
dc.date.access2025-06-06
dc.date.accessioned2025-09-17T09:27:08Z
dc.date.available2025-09-17T09:27:08Z
dc.date.copyright2023-12-31
dc.date.issued2023
dc.description.abstract<jats:p>The purpose of this paper is to identify the potential changes in agricultural land use in Poland as a consequence of implementing the European Green Deal, including its potential economic effects. The study covered crops of key importance to Polish agriculture, cultivated in a total area of 8.2 million ha, which accounts for more than 60% of land in good agricultural condition. The analyses were based on average values for 2016–2020 and used three scenarios for EGD implementation by 2030 (no EGD; partial implementation of the EGD; full implementation of the EGD). Each analysis took account of changes in the area of land under conventional, organic and precision farming systems. The study found that EGD requirements can be met by implementing the precision farming system, especially for intensive farming schemes like rape and sugar beet. Organic farming should be used either for extensively farmed cereals like oat or for fruits which are sold at higher prices when farmed organically. Another finding is that the full implementation of the EGD could decrease the production volume of key Polish crops by 13%, which can have important social impacts, such as increased prices of food products or a deterioration of food security. </jats:p>
dc.description.accesstimeat_publication
dc.description.bibliographybibliogr.
dc.description.financepublication_nocost
dc.description.financecost0,00
dc.description.number2
dc.description.points140
dc.description.versionfinal_published
dc.description.volume19
dc.identifier.doi10.56583/br.2303
dc.identifier.eissn2956-686X
dc.identifier.issn1644-9398
dc.identifier.urihttps://sciencerep.up.poznan.pl/handle/item/4872
dc.identifier.weblinkhttps://czaz.akademiazamojska.edu.pl/index.php/br/article/view/2303
dc.languageen
dc.relation.ispartofBarometr regionalny. Analizy i Prognozy
dc.relation.pages7-22
dc.rightsCC-BY-NC-ND
dc.sciencecloudsend
dc.share.typeOPEN_JOURNAL
dc.subject.enEuropean Green Deal
dc.subject.enPolish agriculture
dc.subject.enland use
dc.subject.eneconomic impacts
dc.subject.enagricultural production efficiency
dc.titlePotential Changes in Land Use and Plant Production in Poland in the Context of Implementing the European Green Deal
dc.typeJournalArticle
dspace.entity.typePublication
oaire.citation.issue2
oaire.citation.volume19