Less power when more is needed. Climate-related current and possible future problems of the wind energy sector in Poland

cris.virtual.author-orcid0000-0001-5487-5871
cris.virtual.author-orcid0000-0001-6759-1595
cris.virtual.author-orcid0000-0002-8989-0761
cris.virtual.author-orcid0000-0002-2819-2644
cris.virtualsource.author-orcid78e28297-4e99-4a6f-9f0c-ceb6f723dbbd
cris.virtualsource.author-orcidf14ace60-01f0-4c52-a80b-4b1f93f7d966
cris.virtualsource.author-orcid8e9590fe-311c-4187-9bc5-d31340640802
cris.virtualsource.author-orcidd6213900-7cb6-47c7-a5c6-2232adef45bf
dc.abstract.enHeat waves, combined with an increasing share of weather-dependent renewable energy sources, lead to disruptions in the operation of energy systems. This paper estimates how energy consumption in Poland changed during four heat waves (2010–2022). It also analyzes how often wind conditions may occur in the summer, that interrupt energy production by land-based wind farms. Moreover, authors are looking at future changes of climate indices responsible for increased energy consumption and possible reduction of energy production in wind farms. During the 2010 heatwave, the increase in energy consumption during the hottest days did not exceed 4 %. Later summer demand increased; in 2019, it was 8 % higher than during the 2015 heatwave. In 2016–2022, energy consumption at the average daily air temperature above 26 °C was over 8 % higher on working days than at 18 °C. Recently, even in regions with favorable wind conditions, the number of summer days with low wind speed (2 ms−1) exceeds 14. For Poland, the number of days with low wind speeds will increase by about ten. Therefore, the increasing demand for energy on hot days, combined with their more frequent occurrence, may have a negative impact on the stability of the energy system in the future.
dc.affiliationWydział Inżynierii Środowiska i Inżynierii Mechanicznej
dc.affiliationWydział Rolnictwa, Ogrodnictwa i Biotechnologii
dc.affiliation.instituteKatedra Melioracji, Kształtowania Środowiska i Gospodarki Przestrzennej
dc.affiliation.instituteKatedra Terenów Zieleni i Architektury Krajobrazu
dc.contributor.authorGraczyk, Dariusz
dc.contributor.authorPińskwar, Iwona
dc.contributor.authorChoryński, Adam
dc.contributor.authorStasik, Rafał
dc.date.access2024-10-07
dc.date.accessioned2024-10-07T09:35:46Z
dc.date.available2024-10-07T09:35:46Z
dc.date.copyright2024-08-03
dc.date.issued2024
dc.description.bibliographyil., bibliogr.
dc.description.financepublication_nocost
dc.description.financecost0.00
dc.description.if9,0
dc.description.numberOctober 2024
dc.description.points140
dc.description.reviewreview
dc.description.volume232
dc.identifier.doi10.1016/j.renene.2024.121093
dc.identifier.issn0960-1481
dc.identifier.urihttps://sciencerep.up.poznan.pl/handle/item/1781
dc.languageen
dc.relation.ispartofRenewable Energy
dc.relation.pagesart. 121093
dc.rightsClosedAccess
dc.sciencecloudsend
dc.subject.enHeat waves
dc.subject.enWind energy
dc.subject.enEnergy drought
dc.subject.enEnergy demand
dc.subject.enPoland
dc.titleLess power when more is needed. Climate-related current and possible future problems of the wind energy sector in Poland
dc.typeJournalArticle
dspace.entity.typePublication
oaire.citation.volume232