Spatiotemporal Variability of Dendroecological Indicators in Pedunculate Oak (Quercus robur L.) Tree-Rings Across Europe in Relation to Species Distribution Models

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dc.abstract.enFunding: This study was developed under the Scholarship Fund of the Forest Research Institute in Poland, awarded to A. Popa (the Forest Research Institute's Scholarship Fund dated 21/06/2024). A. Popa and I. Popa were supported by the FOR-CLIMSOC Programme, Project ID PN23090201, financed by Ministerul Cercetării, Inovării și Digitalizării in Romania. J. Jevšenak gratefully acknowledges the support from the Slovenian Research and Innovation Agency (basic research project J4-50130 and programme and research group P4-0107). G. Florența, V. Florența, and V. Grati were supported by the project 22ROMD/2024 financed by Ministerul Cercetării, Inovării și Digitalizării in Romania. Part of the data has been funded by the Forest Research Institute (IBL) (Own Research Fund, grant no. 261509 to K. Pilch and E. Zin). V. Treml and J. Tumajer were supported by the Johannes Amos Comenius Programme (P JAC), project No. CZ.02.01.01/00/22_008/0004605, Natural and anthropogenic georisks. M. Árvai and Z. Kern were supported by the National Research, Development, and Innovation Office (NKFIH) by Grant Project no. FK 134547. M. Netsvetov was supported through the MSCA4Ukraine project, which is funded by the European Union; fellowship grant reference number 1232738. C.-C. Roibu was supported by a grant from the Ministry of Research, Innovation and Digitization, under the “Romania's National Recovery and Resilience Plan—Founded by EU –NextGenerationEU” program, project “Compound extreme events from a long-term perspective and their impact on forest growth dynamics (CExForD)” number 760074/23.05.2023, code 287/30.11.2022, within Pillar III, Component C9, Investment 8. M. Netsvetov, Y. Prokopuk, and V. Budzhak were supported by the state budget programme ‘Support for the development of priority areas of scientific research in Ukraine’ (KPKVK 6541230; state registration No. 0125U002605). M. Šenfeldr was supported by the project Confluence of Moravia and Dyje—present and future (no. SS07010025). I. Sochová, M. Rybníček, and T. Kolář were supported by the Czech Science Foundation through grant 23-08049S, Central European HYDRoclimate from Oak stable isotopes over the past 8000 years—HYDRO8. K. Sohar was supported by the Estonian Research Council grant (PSG1044). M. Klisz acknowledges the support of the INTERREG Central Europe Programme, Project RE-ENFORCE: “Transnational Cooperation on nature-based solutions for restoring degraded forests of Central Europe” (grant no. CE0200902). This article is based upon work from COST Action CA21138 (CLEANFOREST) “Joint effects of CLimate Extremes and Atmospheric depositioN on European FORESTs”, supported by COST (European Cooperation in Science and Technology).
dc.affiliationWydział Leśny i Technologii Drewna
dc.affiliation.instituteKatedra Użytkowania Lasu
dc.contributor.authorPopa, Andrei
dc.contributor.authorJevšenak, Jernej
dc.contributor.authorDyderski, Marcin
dc.contributor.authorPuchałka, Radosław
dc.contributor.authorBuras, Allan
dc.contributor.authorPopa, Ionel
dc.contributor.authorWilmking, Martin
dc.contributor.authorKalisty, Aleksandra
dc.contributor.authorRoibu, Catalin‐Constantin
dc.contributor.authorJakubowski, Marcin
dc.contributor.authorThurm, Eric
dc.contributor.authorŠenfeldr, Martin
dc.contributor.authorSmiljanić, Marko
dc.contributor.authorvan der Maaten, Ernst
dc.contributor.authorEsper, Jan
dc.contributor.authorMartinez del Castillo, Edurne
dc.contributor.authorTreml, Vaclav
dc.contributor.authorTumajer, Jan
dc.contributor.authorZlatanov, Tzvetan
dc.contributor.authorMatisons, Roberts
dc.contributor.authorFlorenta, Gheorghe
dc.contributor.authorFlorenta, Veronica
dc.contributor.authorNetsvetov, Maksym
dc.contributor.authorGrati, Vladislav
dc.contributor.authorBurger, Andreas
dc.contributor.authorJanecka, Karolina
dc.contributor.authorKostić, Saša
dc.contributor.authorPilch, Kamil
dc.contributor.authorJansone, Diāna
dc.contributor.authorLiepiņa, Agnese
dc.contributor.authorProkopuk, Yulia
dc.contributor.authorSylenko, Oleksandr
dc.contributor.authorÁrvai, Mátyás
dc.contributor.authorBräuning, Achim
dc.contributor.authorMarques, Cristina
dc.contributor.authorHäusser, Martin
dc.contributor.authorHorváth, Emil
dc.contributor.authorJeleń, Jakub
dc.contributor.authorKaczka, Ryszard
dc.contributor.authorKern, Zoltán
dc.contributor.authorKolář, Tomáš
dc.contributor.authorKoprowski, Marcin
dc.contributor.authorMetslaid, Sandra
dc.contributor.authorMorgós, András
dc.contributor.authorKhodosovtsev, Oleksandr
dc.contributor.authorPotapov, Aleksei
dc.contributor.authorRybníček, Michal
dc.contributor.authorSochová, Irena
dc.contributor.authorSohar, Kristina
dc.contributor.authorBudzhak, Vasyl
dc.contributor.authorZin, Ewa
dc.contributor.authorSchneider, Tassilo
dc.contributor.authorGil, Wojciech
dc.contributor.authorKlisz, Marcin
dc.date.access2025-11-13
dc.date.accessioned2025-11-13T12:58:37Z
dc.date.available2025-11-13T12:58:37Z
dc.date.copyright2025-10-30
dc.date.issued2025
dc.description.abstract<jats:title>ABSTRACT</jats:title> <jats:p> Climate is a primary, but non‐stationary, driver of tree growth. Climate change is altering the sensitivity of forest growth to water availability and temperature over time. It is considered that pedunculate oak ( <jats:styled-content style="fixed-case"> <jats:italic>Quercus robur</jats:italic> </jats:styled-content> L.) will cope with the changing climatic conditions in Europe in the near future. However, while species distribution models project expansion zones, they also identify reductions in occurrence at the dry and warm distribution margins. Whereas species distribution models primarily rely on occurrence data, tree rings—given their long‐term perspective and their use in empirical models—can provide a mechanistic view of forest growth dynamics, including temporally changing climate responses. Increased climate sensitivity and growth synchrony are key dendroecological indicators of tree stress. Here, we used an unprecedented network of 150 <jats:styled-content style="fixed-case"> <jats:italic>Q. robur</jats:italic> </jats:styled-content> sites (over 3300 trees), covering the full projected range of contracting to persistent areas across Europe, to assess the dendroecological indicators over recent decades in relation to species distribution model predictions. We reveal that oaks in areas projected to experience range contraction exhibited greater sensitivity to current growing season climatic conditions, whereas those in persistence areas responded more strongly to previous season conditions. Growth synchrony among trees was higher in the contraction areas, but showed no significant increasing trend over the last 70 years, as expected from ecotone theory. Temporal shifts in climate sensitivity were stronger for temperature and vapor pressure deficit in the persistence areas, whereas the climatic water balance gained importance in the contraction zones. These findings suggest that <jats:styled-content style="fixed-case"> <jats:italic>Q. robur</jats:italic> </jats:styled-content> growth is not yet being severely affected by climate change, and that the species is currently coping well with the climate changes, even in regions with projected range contractions, thereby challenging statistically derived scenarios of range shift based on species distribution models. </jats:p>
dc.description.accesstimeat_publication
dc.description.bibliographyil., bibliogr.
dc.description.financepublication_nocost
dc.description.financecost0,00
dc.description.if12,1
dc.description.number11
dc.description.points200
dc.description.versionfinal_published
dc.description.volume31
dc.identifier.doi10.1111/gcb.70567
dc.identifier.eissn1365-2486
dc.identifier.issn1354-1013
dc.identifier.urihttps://sciencerep.up.poznan.pl/handle/item/5878
dc.identifier.weblinkhttps://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.70567
dc.languageen
dc.relation.ispartofGlobal Change Biology
dc.relation.pagese70567
dc.rightsCC-BY
dc.sciencecloudnosend
dc.share.typeOTHER
dc.subject.enclimate change scenarios
dc.subject.enclimate–growth relationships
dc.subject.enclimatic water balance
dc.subject.engrowth synchrony
dc.subject.enrange contraction
dc.subject.envapor pressure deficit
dc.titleSpatiotemporal Variability of Dendroecological Indicators in Pedunculate Oak (Quercus robur L.) Tree-Rings Across Europe in Relation to Species Distribution Models
dc.typeJournalArticle
dspace.entity.typePublication
oaire.citation.issue11
oaire.citation.volume31